2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 5:00 PM · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Florida @ Texas

Predicted scoreLikely

Florida

18.5

Texas

31.3

Texas win probability: 80%

Margin (Texas − Florida): 12.8 (80% range -7 to 33)

Total: 49.8 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Florida 17 – Texas 49 (margin error 19.2, total error 16.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.