2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 5:00 PM · Nippert Stadium
West Virginia @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreLean
West Virginia
28.0
Cincinnati
33.3
Cincinnati win probability: 62%
Margin (Cincinnati − West Virginia): 5.3 (80% range -16 to 27)
Total: 61.4 (80% range 37 to 87)
Actual: West Virginia 31 – Cincinnati 24 (margin error 12.3, total error 6.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 35 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.