2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 7:30 PM · Jordan-Hare Stadium
California @ Auburn
Predicted scoreLikely
California
20.8
Auburn
32.1
Auburn win probability: 76%
Margin (Auburn − California): 11.3 (80% range -9 to 32)
Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: California 21 – Auburn 14 (margin error 18.3, total error 17.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.