2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 1:00 AM · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium

California @ Wake Forest

Predicted scoreToss-up

California

28.5

Wake Forest

27.4

Wake Forest win probability: 47%

Margin (Wake Forest − California): -1.1 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 55.9 (80% range 31 to 82)

Actual: California 46 – Wake Forest 36 (margin error 8.9, total error 26.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.