2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 8:15 PM · Davis Wade Stadium

Massachusetts @ Mississippi State

Predicted scoreLikely

Massachusetts

21.4

Mississippi State

37.7

Mississippi State win probability: 84%

Margin (Mississippi State − Massachusetts): 16.3 (80% range -4 to 38)

Total: 59.0 (80% range 35 to 84)

Actual: Massachusetts 20 – Mississippi State 45 (margin error 8.7, total error 6.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.