Predicted scoreToss-up
UCLA
21.8
Nebraska
25.2
Nebraska win probability: 59%
Margin (Nebraska − UCLA): 3.4 (80% range -17 to 23)
Total: 47.1 (80% range 26 to 70)
Actual: UCLA 27 – Nebraska 20 (margin error 10.4, total error 0.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.