Predicted scoreLikely
Florida
21.3
Georgia
30.9
Georgia win probability: 73%
Margin (Georgia − Florida): 9.6 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Florida 20 – Georgia 34 (margin error 4.4, total error 1.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.