2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 7:30 PM · Boone Pickens Stadium

Arizona State @ Oklahoma State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Arizona State

28.7

Oklahoma State

32.2

Oklahoma State win probability: 58%

Margin (Oklahoma State − Arizona State): 3.5 (80% range -18 to 25)

Total: 60.9 (80% range 36 to 87)

Actual: Arizona State 42 – Oklahoma State 21 (margin error 24.5, total error 2.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.