Predicted scoreLean
Ole Miss
32.2
Arkansas
25.0
Arkansas win probability: 33%
Margin (Arkansas − Ole Miss): -7.2 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 57.3 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Ole Miss 63 – Arkansas 31 (margin error 24.8, total error 36.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.