2024 Week 9 · Oct 27, 2024, 2:15 AM · Folsom Field
Cincinnati @ Colorado
Predicted scoreLean
Cincinnati
24.0
Colorado
28.3
Colorado win probability: 61%
Margin (Colorado − Cincinnati): 4.3 (80% range -16 to 24)
Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Cincinnati 23 – Colorado 34 (margin error 6.7, total error 4.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.