2024 Week 9 · Oct 27, 2024, 12:00 AM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Kansas @ Kansas State

Predicted scoreLean

Kansas

26.0

Kansas State

33.1

Kansas State win probability: 67%

Margin (Kansas State − Kansas): 7.2 (80% range -14 to 28)

Total: 59.1 (80% range 34 to 85)

Actual: Kansas 27 – Kansas State 29 (margin error 5.2, total error 3.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.