2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 8:15 PM · FirstBank Stadium
Texas @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreLikely
Texas
34.9
Vanderbilt
20.2
Vanderbilt win probability: 18%
Margin (Vanderbilt − Texas): -14.7 (80% range -35 to 6)
Total: 55.0 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Texas 27 – Vanderbilt 24 (margin error 11.7, total error 4.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.