2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 8:00 PM · California Memorial Stadium

Oregon State @ California

Predicted scoreToss-up

Oregon State

24.7

California

28.3

California win probability: 59%

Margin (California − Oregon State): 3.6 (80% range -17 to 24)

Total: 53.0 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Oregon State 7 – California 44 (margin error 33.4, total error 2.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.