Predicted scoreLean
Georgia
23.7
Texas
29.4
Texas win probability: 64%
Margin (Texas − Georgia): 5.7 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 53.1 (80% range 31 to 77)
Actual: Georgia 30 – Texas 15 (margin error 20.7, total error 8.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.