2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 8:15 PM · Davis Wade Stadium

Texas A&M @ Mississippi State

Predicted scoreLean

Texas A&M

29.6

Mississippi State

21.8

Mississippi State win probability: 31%

Margin (Mississippi State − Texas A&M): -7.8 (80% range -28 to 13)

Total: 51.5 (80% range 28 to 76)

Actual: Texas A&M 34 – Mississippi State 24 (margin error 2.2, total error 6.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.