Predicted scoreToss-up
Colorado
25.1
Arizona
28.5
Arizona win probability: 59%
Margin (Arizona − Colorado): 3.4 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Colorado 34 – Arizona 7 (margin error 30.4, total error 12.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.