Predicted scoreLikely
Auburn
20.3
Missouri
29.0
Missouri win probability: 71%
Margin (Missouri − Auburn): 8.7 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 49.3 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Auburn 17 – Missouri 21 (margin error 4.7, total error 11.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.