2024 Week 1 · Sep 1, 2024, 2:30 AM · Mountain America Stadium

Wyoming @ Arizona State

Predicted scoreLean

Wyoming

20.7

Arizona State

28.1

Arizona State win probability: 68%

Margin (Arizona State − Wyoming): 7.4 (80% range -13 to 28)

Total: 48.8 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Wyoming 7 – Arizona State 48 (margin error 33.6, total error 6.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.