2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 4:00 PM · Nippert Stadium
Arizona State @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreToss-up
Arizona State
29.2
Cincinnati
29.7
Cincinnati win probability: 51%
Margin (Cincinnati − Arizona State): 0.5 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 58.9 (80% range 34 to 85)
Actual: Arizona State 14 – Cincinnati 24 (margin error 9.5, total error 20.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.