Predicted scoreLean
UCLA
23.3
Rutgers
28.2
Rutgers win probability: 62%
Margin (Rutgers − UCLA): 4.9 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 51.4 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: UCLA 35 – Rutgers 32 (margin error 7.9, total error 15.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.