Predicted scoreLean
Nebraska
24.1
Indiana
29.4
Indiana win probability: 63%
Margin (Indiana − Nebraska): 5.3 (80% range -15 to 25)
Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Nebraska 7 – Indiana 56 (margin error 43.7, total error 9.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.