2024 Week 1 · Sep 1, 2024, 12:00 AM · Jerry Richardson Stadium

James Madison @ Charlotte

Predicted scoreConfident

James Madison

35.4

Charlotte

18.5

Charlotte win probability: 14%

Margin (Charlotte − James Madison): -16.9 (80% range -38 to 3)

Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: James Madison 30 – Charlotte 7 (margin error 6.1, total error 16.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.