2024 Week 7 · Oct 13, 2024, 2:15 AM · Folsom Field
Kansas State @ Colorado
Predicted scoreLean
Kansas State
27.9
Colorado
22.1
Colorado win probability: 36%
Margin (Colorado − Kansas State): -5.8 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 50.0 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Kansas State 31 – Colorado 28 (margin error 2.8, total error 9.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.