Predicted scoreToss-up
Ole Miss
32.6
LSU
30.2
LSU win probability: 44%
Margin (LSU − Ole Miss): -2.4 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 62.8 (80% range 38 to 89)
Actual: Ole Miss 26 – LSU 29 (margin error 5.4, total error 7.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 38 | 31 | 0.53% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.