Predicted scoreLean
Arizona
22.4
BYU
27.7
BYU win probability: 63%
Margin (BYU − Arizona): 5.2 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 27 to 74)
Actual: Arizona 19 – BYU 41 (margin error 16.8, total error 9.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.