2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 7:30 PM · Acrisure Stadium
California @ Pittsburgh
Predicted scoreToss-up
California
24.6
Pittsburgh
26.3
Pittsburgh win probability: 54%
Margin (Pittsburgh − California): 1.7 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: California 15 – Pittsburgh 17 (margin error 0.3, total error 19.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.