2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 4:00 PM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Missouri @ Massachusetts
Predicted scoreLikely
Missouri
37.6
Massachusetts
21.0
Massachusetts win probability: 15%
Margin (Massachusetts − Missouri): -16.7 (80% range -38 to 4)
Total: 58.6 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: Missouri 45 – Massachusetts 3 (margin error 25.3, total error 10.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 35 | 14 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.59% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.