2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 4:00 PM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Missouri @ Massachusetts

Predicted scoreLikely

Missouri

37.6

Massachusetts

21.0

Massachusetts win probability: 15%

Margin (Massachusetts − Missouri): -16.7 (80% range -38 to 4)

Total: 58.6 (80% range 34 to 84)

Actual: Missouri 45 – Massachusetts 3 (margin error 25.3, total error 10.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.