2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 2:30 AM · Mountain America Stadium

Utah @ Arizona State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Utah

24.4

Arizona State

26.0

Arizona State win probability: 54%

Margin (Arizona State − Utah): 1.6 (80% range -18 to 21)

Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Utah 19 – Arizona State 27 (margin error 6.4, total error 4.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.