2024 Week 6 · Oct 6, 2024, 12:00 AM · Mountain America Stadium

Kansas @ Arizona State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Kansas

27.7

Arizona State

30.9

Arizona State win probability: 58%

Margin (Arizona State − Kansas): 3.2 (80% range -18 to 24)

Total: 58.7 (80% range 34 to 85)

Actual: Kansas 31 – Arizona State 35 (margin error 0.8, total error 7.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.