2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 11:00 PM · Malone Stadium
James Madison @ UL Monroe
Predicted scoreLikely
James Madison
31.9
UL Monroe
18.2
UL Monroe win probability: 19%
Margin (UL Monroe − James Madison): -13.8 (80% range -34 to 7)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: James Madison 19 – UL Monroe 21 (margin error 15.8, total error 10.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.86% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.