Predicted scoreConfident
Temple
18.0
UConn
35.4
UConn win probability: 86%
Margin (UConn − Temple): 17.4 (80% range -3 to 38)
Total: 53.5 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Temple 20 – UConn 29 (margin error 8.4, total error 4.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.