Predicted scoreLean
Arizona
23.6
Utah
28.5
Utah win probability: 62%
Margin (Utah − Arizona): 4.9 (80% range -15 to 25)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Arizona 23 – Utah 10 (margin error 17.9, total error 19.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.