2024 Week 5 · Sep 29, 2024, 12:00 AM · Jones AT&T Stadium
Cincinnati @ Texas Tech
Predicted scoreToss-up
Cincinnati
28.2
Texas Tech
30.5
Texas Tech win probability: 56%
Margin (Texas Tech − Cincinnati): 2.3 (80% range -18 to 24)
Total: 58.7 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: Cincinnati 41 – Texas Tech 44 (margin error 0.7, total error 26.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.