2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 7:30 PM · Yager Stadium
Massachusetts @ Miami (OH)
Predicted scoreConfident
Massachusetts
15.2
Miami (OH)
33.9
Miami (OH) win probability: 89%
Margin (Miami (OH) − Massachusetts): 18.7 (80% range 0 to 38)
Total: 49.1 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Massachusetts 20 – Miami (OH) 23 (margin error 15.7, total error 6.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.86% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.81% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.