2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 7:30 PM · AT&T Stadium (neutral site)

Arkansas @ Texas A&M

Predicted scoreToss-up

Arkansas

23.1

Texas A&M

26.1

Texas A&M win probability: 57%

Margin (Texas A&M − Arkansas): 3.0 (80% range -17 to 23)

Total: 49.2 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Arkansas 17 – Texas A&M 21 (margin error 1.0, total error 11.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.