2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 4:00 PM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Oklahoma State @ Kansas State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Oklahoma State

27.0

Kansas State

28.6

Kansas State win probability: 54%

Margin (Kansas State − Oklahoma State): 1.6 (80% range -19 to 22)

Total: 55.6 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Oklahoma State 20 – Kansas State 42 (margin error 20.4, total error 6.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.