Predicted scoreLean
BYU
25.2
Baylor
20.3
Baylor win probability: 37%
Margin (Baylor − BYU): -4.9 (80% range -24 to 14)
Total: 45.5 (80% range 24 to 68)
Actual: BYU 34 – Baylor 28 (margin error 1.1, total error 16.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.95% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.