2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Maryland @ Indiana

Predicted scoreToss-up

Maryland

29.9

Indiana

30.6

Indiana win probability: 52%

Margin (Indiana − Maryland): 0.7 (80% range -21 to 22)

Total: 60.4 (80% range 35 to 87)

Actual: Maryland 28 – Indiana 42 (margin error 13.3, total error 9.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.