2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 12:00 AM · SHI Stadium
Washington @ Rutgers
Predicted scoreToss-up
Washington
28.1
Rutgers
26.8
Rutgers win probability: 47%
Margin (Rutgers − Washington): -1.3 (80% range -21 to 19)
Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Washington 18 – Rutgers 21 (margin error 4.3, total error 15.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.62% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.