Predicted scoreLean
Baylor
29.3
Colorado
22.2
Colorado win probability: 33%
Margin (Colorado − Baylor): -7.1 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: Baylor 31 – Colorado 38 (margin error 14.1, total error 17.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.