2024 Week 4 · Sep 22, 2024, 12:00 AM · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

UL Monroe @ Texas

Predicted scoreConfident

UL Monroe

9.4

Texas

40.0

Texas win probability: 98%

Margin (Texas − UL Monroe): 30.5 (80% range 10 to 52)

Total: 49.4 (80% range 28 to 72)

Actual: UL Monroe 3 – Texas 51 (margin error 17.5, total error 4.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.