2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 11:45 PM · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Georgia Southern @ Ole Miss

Predicted scoreConfident

Georgia Southern

15.1

Ole Miss

43.8

Ole Miss win probability: 96%

Margin (Ole Miss − Georgia Southern): 28.6 (80% range 7 to 50)

Total: 58.9 (80% range 35 to 84)

Actual: Georgia Southern 13 – Ole Miss 52 (margin error 10.4, total error 6.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.