2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 11:30 PM · Kyle Field
Bowling Green @ Texas A&M
Predicted scoreConfident
Bowling Green
14.0
Texas A&M
36.3
Texas A&M win probability: 92%
Margin (Texas A&M − Bowling Green): 22.4 (80% range 3 to 43)
Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Bowling Green 20 – Texas A&M 26 (margin error 16.4, total error 4.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.95% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.75% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.