2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 9:00 PM · Canvas Stadium
UTEP @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreToss-up
UTEP
24.2
Colorado State
27.3
Colorado State win probability: 58%
Margin (Colorado State − UTEP): 3.1 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: UTEP 17 – Colorado State 27 (margin error 6.9, total error 7.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.