2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 8:15 PM · Memorial Stadium
Vanderbilt @ Missouri
Predicted scoreLikely
Vanderbilt
21.4
Missouri
37.0
Missouri win probability: 83%
Margin (Missouri − Vanderbilt): 15.5 (80% range -5 to 36)
Total: 58.4 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Vanderbilt 27 – Missouri 30 (margin error 12.5, total error 1.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 38 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.