Predicted scoreToss-up
Arkansas
25.2
Auburn
28.6
Auburn win probability: 59%
Margin (Auburn − Arkansas): 3.5 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Arkansas 24 – Auburn 14 (margin error 13.5, total error 15.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.