2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 7:30 PM · Jones AT&T Stadium
Arizona State @ Texas Tech
Predicted scoreToss-up
Arizona State
27.9
Texas Tech
28.8
Texas Tech win probability: 52%
Margin (Texas Tech − Arizona State): 0.8 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 56.7 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: Arizona State 22 – Texas Tech 30 (margin error 7.2, total error 4.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.59% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.57% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.