Predicted scoreLikely
UCLA
20.9
LSU
37.6
LSU win probability: 85%
Margin (LSU − UCLA): 16.7 (80% range -4 to 38)
Total: 58.5 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: UCLA 17 – LSU 34 (margin error 0.3, total error 7.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.