2024 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2024, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Charlotte @ Indiana

Predicted scoreConfident

Charlotte

16.6

Indiana

39.5

Indiana win probability: 92%

Margin (Indiana − Charlotte): 22.9 (80% range 3 to 44)

Total: 56.1 (80% range 34 to 80)

Actual: Charlotte 14 – Indiana 52 (margin error 15.1, total error 9.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.