2024 Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024, 7:30 PM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Eastern Michigan @ Massachusetts

Predicted scoreToss-up

Eastern Michigan

27.6

Massachusetts

24.9

Massachusetts win probability: 43%

Margin (Massachusetts − Eastern Michigan): -2.7 (80% range -23 to 18)

Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Eastern Michigan 28 – Massachusetts 14 (margin error 11.3, total error 10.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.